It’s official: the next governor, lieutenant governor, and attorney general of Virginia will be Republican.
With decisive victories from Bob McDonnell, Bill Bolling, and Ken Cuccinelli, many will be wondering what the statewide election says at the national level, especially going into the 2010 Congressional midterm elections.
“That Republican resurgence, that revolution, has begun again,” said Eric Cantor, Republican whip in the House of Representatives. But does a vote against Creigh Deeds, Jody Wagner, or Steve Shannon mean a vote against President Barack Obama?
Of those that voted for Deeds, 38 percent said their vote was in support of the president, according to exit polls, and 42 percent of McDonnell voters said their vote was one against Obama.
However, overall, 55 percent of voters said that President Obama was not a factor in their vote. In New Jersey’s gubernatorial election, 60 percent said the same.
Republican attendees at McDonnell headquarters in Richmond disagreed. Cantor said that the vote was an indictment of “the Obama-Pelosi-McCain agenda.”
Every president in American history, with the exceptions of Franklin Delano Roosevelt and George W. Bush, experienced a loss in House seats in the first midterm election following their moves into the White House, according to Larry Sabato, political science professor at the University of Virginia.
So while there may indeed be Republican victories next year, there is little agreement on whether tonight’s result forecasts anything of the sort. Voters themselves have indicated that 2009 may or may not mean anything for 2010. Pk